Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 49.026615 56.319131 63.875638 72.255969 81.256362 90.601032 101.005381
2025-04-20 39.838421 50.375830 61.875486 75.214357 90.125574 106.158363 124.580017
2025-04-27 33.999553 46.294577 60.240892 76.937291 96.109829 117.193133 141.894584
2025-05-04 28.425826 41.653172 57.226311 76.420591 98.992007 124.296424 154.430261
2025-05-11 23.862240 37.606267 54.379191 75.614554 101.121275 130.198740 165.307191
2025-05-18 20.764338 35.004480 52.953993 76.212864 104.651740 137.519411 177.647455
2025-05-25 17.718626 32.107410 50.866915 75.749199 106.706709 142.957625 187.681302
2025-06-01 15.423629 29.964865 49.533253 76.041815 109.531675 149.194771 198.565335
2025-06-08 13.018270 27.378857 47.393414 75.123033 110.717536 153.363293 206.923715
2025-06-15 11.645052 26.167210 46.991260 76.355766 114.511345 160.625517 218.929280
2025-06-22 10.469838 25.123494 46.722663 77.688527 118.379009 167.947313 230.994775
2025-06-29 8.857187 23.166520 45.011514 76.975481 119.550516 171.905038 238.967880
2025-07-06 7.089569 20.709456 42.423016 74.972598 119.012168 173.750275 244.424309
2025-07-13 6.686008 20.654352 43.402027 77.895390 124.906167 183.625019 259.712533
2025-07-20 6.070840 20.114464 43.586913 79.670048 129.270980 191.581030 272.660070
2025-07-27 5.059282 18.634214 42.201737 79.140108 130.525456 195.587301 280.730607
2025-08-03 4.128272 17.138621 40.675105 78.317498 131.322610 198.969033 287.998778
2025-08-10 3.550404 16.306566 40.164898 78.928336 134.022322 204.757172 298.249121
2025-08-17 2.885584 15.117759 38.966066 78.454931 135.200017 208.566127 306.015823
2025-08-24 2.410488 14.286294 38.313867 78.753700 137.406800 213.683894 315.415478
2025-08-31 1.859259 13.074131 36.893640 77.815559 137.852109 216.487400 321.885774
2025-09-07 1.609206 12.677082 36.913547 79.074245 141.352584 223.268577 333.384309
2025-09-14 1.396147 12.335560 37.008449 80.434873 144.991775 230.235541 345.131377